A Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet
The Climate Vulnerability Monitor in its 2nd Edition reveals how climate change is already holding back global development and the currently insufficient action for tackling the problem has become a leading global cause of death. Harm is most acute for poor and vulnerable groups but no country is spared either the costs of inaction or the benefits of an alternative path.
The report comprised the most comprehensive global assessment of the impact of climate change and the carbon economy at the time of release. Developed in conjunction with detailed field research undertaken in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, the report is a reference guide for policy-makers and communicators seeking to address climate change around the world.Climate Vulnerability Monitor, 2nd Edn.: “A Guide to the Cold Calculus of A Hot Planet”, DARA and the CVF (2012)
Complete Report, 330 pages (large file – 42.7 mb, pdf )
Executive & Technical Summaries
English (1.0 mb, pdf )
French (1.5 mb, pdf )
Spanish (1.5 mb, pdf )
Front Matter (2.0 mb, pdf )
The Monitor (0.6 mb, pdf )
Report Navigator (1.2 mb, pdf )
Climate (large file – 31.6 mb, pdf )
Carbon (5.7 mb, pdf )
End Matter (0.3 mb, pdf )
Ghana (0.7 mb, pdf )
Vietnam (0.5 mb, pdf )
Methodology & Data (0.3 mb, pdf )
Detailed Methodological Note (3.8 mb, pdf )
34 impact/vulnerability effects analyzed for 184 countries for 2010 and 2030 – access DARA’s Monitor Data Portal here .
- Mary Chinery-Hesse. Member of the Panel of the Wise of the African Union; Chief Advisor to the Former President of Ghana; Former Deputy Director-General of the International Labour Organization (ILO)
- Helen Clark. Administrator, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)
- José María Figueres Olsen. Former President of Costa Rica; Chairman of the Carbon War Room
- Robert Glasser. Secretary General, CARE International, Geneva
- Saleemul Huq. Director, International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED), Independent University, Dhaka
- Yolanda Kakabadse. International President, WWF
- Ashok Khosla. President, International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN); Chairman of Development Alternatives, Co-Chair of the UN Resources Panel
- Ricardo Lagos. Former President of Chile; Former President of the Club of Madrid
- Loren Legarda. Senator of the Philippines; UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR) Regional Champion for Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation for Asia and the Pacific
- Michael Marmot. Director, International Institute for Society and Health, University College, London
- Simon Maxwell. Executive Chair, Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN)
- David Nabarro. Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Food Security and Nutrition
- Atiq Rahman. Executive Director, Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies (BCAS), Dhaka
- Teresa Ribera. Former Secretary of State for Climate Change of Spain
- Johan Rockström. Executive Director, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and Stockholm Resilience Centre
- Jeffrey Sachs. Director, The Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York
- Hans Joachim Schellnhuber. Founding Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
- Javier Solana. President, ESADE Center for Global Economy and Politics; Distinguished Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution; Chairman, Aspen Institute España
- Andrew Steer. President, World Resources Institute, Washington, D.C.
- Margareta Wahlström. United Nations Assistant Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction
- Michael Zammit Cutajar. Former Executive Secretary, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
Peer Review Committee (30 Members)
- Yasemin Aysan. Former Under Secretary General, International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC)
- Suruchi Bhadwal. Associate Director, Earth Sciences and Climate Change Division, The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), New Delhi
- Diarmid Cammpbell-Lendrum. Senior Scientist, Public Health and Environment, World Health Organization (WHO)
- Manuel Carballo. Director, International Committee for Migration and Health
- Ian Christoplos. Senior Project Researcher, Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS), Copenhagen
- Joshua Cooper. Director, Hawaii Institute for Human Rights
- Mariane Diop Kane. Head of Forecasting, Agence Nationale de la Meteorologie du Senegal (ANAMS)
- Sean Doolan. Climate Change & Environmental Governance Advisor, United Kingdom Department for International Development (DfID), Ghana
- Pierre Encontre. Chief, Special Programmes, Division for Africa, Least Developed Countries and Special Programmes, UN Conference on Trade and Investment (UNCTAD)
- Hans-Martin Fussel. Project Manager for Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation at the European Environment Agency (EEA)
- Tim Gore. International Policy Advisor for Climate Change, Oxfam International Advocacy Office, New York
- Anne Hammill. Senior Researcher, Climate Change and Energy, International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), Geneva
- Randolph Kent. Director, Humanitarian Futures Programme, King’s College, London
- Tord Kjellstrom. Senior Professor, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University; Visiting Fellow, Honorary Professor, Australia National University, Canberra, and University College, London
- Isabel Kreisler. Climate Policy Specialist, Environment and Energy Group, Bureau for Development Policy, Bureau for Development Policy, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)
- Juergen Kropp. Head, North- South Research Group, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
- Allan Lavell. Coordinator, Programme for Disaster Risk Management, Secretary General’s Office, Latin America Social Science Faculty (FLASCO), San Jose
- Marc Levy. Deputy Director, Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Earth Institute at Columbia University, New York
- Filipe Lucio. Head of the Global Framework for Climate Services, World Meteorological (WMO)
- Urs Luterbacher. Chairman, Environmental Studies Unit, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva
- Andrew Maskrey. Coordinator, Global Assessment Report (GAR), UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR)
- Benito Muller. Director Energy and Environment, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
- Michele De Nevers. Visiting Senior Associate, Center for Global Development, Washington, D.C.
- Martin Parry. Fellow, Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College, London
- James Roop. Climate Change Advisor for Asia and Pacific, Climate Change Branch, AusAID
- Ben Ramalingam. Visiting Fellow, Institute of Development Studies (IDS) and Research Associate, Overseas Development Institute (ODI), London
- Carlo Scaramella. Coordinator, Office for Climate Change, Environment and Disaster Risk Reduction, UN World Food Programme (WFP)
- Matthias Schmale. Under Secretary General, National Society and Knowledge Development, International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC)
- Hansjoerg Strohmeyer. Chief, Policy Development and Studies Branch, UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)
- Farhana Yamin. Research Fellow, Institute of Development Studies, Brighton
Press Releases
- Reuters: 100 million to die by 2030 if world fails to act on climate
- AFP: Global warming freezes world economy: report
- Europa Press (Spanish): El cambio climático ya provoca cinco millones de muertos al año
- The Guardian: Climate change is already damaging global economy, report finds
- AlertNet: Climate change, carbon economy killing 5 million a year – study
- The Daily Mail: Ignore climate change and 100m people will die by 2030, shocking new report claims
- The Daily Telegraph: Why it pays to splash out on flood defences
- NewScientist: Climate change already harming the global economy
- Newsweek: Climate Change Kills 400,000 a Year, New Report Reveals
- Bloomberg Businessweek: Climate Change Reducing Global GDP by $1.2 Trillion
- Bloomberg: Listening to Hurricane Sandy: Climate Change is Here
- Time: Climate change fears
- The Huffington Post: Global Warming Is Already Causing Loss of Life and Damage to the Economy Around the World: New Report
- The Huffington Post Canada: Putting Climate Change in the Budget Now Will Save Lives and Money
- The Globe and Mail: Melting icecap puts Europe’s woes in perspective
- Toronto Star: 100 million to die by 2030 if world fails to act on climate: Report
- US News & World Report: 100 Million Could Die From Climate Change By 2030
- National Geographic: Continuing Carbon Emissions Could Have Devastating Impacts on Poor Countries
- AlterNet: Noam Chomsky: The Fate of Humanity Is at Stake — Why Are Romney and Obama Too Cowardly to Talk About What Really Matters?
- The Times of India: Climate change risk: 100m deaths by ’30
- The Business Times: Global warming slowing down world economy
- The Australian: Global warming freezes world economy
- Argentina Star: 100m to die by 2030 if world fails to act on climate
- Bangkok Post: Global warming slows down world economy: report
- Arab Times: Warming to claim 100m lives by 2030
- China Daily: Climate may claim 100 million lives
- CNC World TV (Video): Lifestyles Bites- Climate Vulnerability Monitor
- El País (Spanish): El clima calienta la crisis
- El Mundo (Spanish): El cambio climático ya tiene un coste que supone el 3.2% del PIB mundial
- La Razón (Spanish): Cinco millones de personas mueren al año por el cambio climático
- Le Monde (French): CHAUD – Le changement climatique pourrait faire 100 millions de morts d’ici 2030
- la Repubblica (Italian): Il riscaldamento globale rallenta l’economia mondiale
The Monitor was launched at the Asia Society in New York, US on 26 September 2012 – see the video coverage and image gallery .
UNEP Executive Director Achim Steiner
National Resources Defense Council (NRDC)